Whitepapers

Quarterly Credit Outlook Q1 2023

The latest whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates global credit trends in the first quarter of 2023. The credit optimism of early 2023 has faded with the latest data suggesting a gradual but broad decline in global credit. US regional banks have shown extensive deterioration, though negative movement has paused for their larger counterparts. Global REITs, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds, US Technology and Telecomms all showing net deterioration.

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March 23, 2023

Credit Portfolio Risk: Consensus Data Fills in the Blanks

Investors in credit portfolios make extensive use of credit agency ratings and market-driven risk models. But some segments are faced with less visibility and a lack of public ratings, while credit portfolio management models are only as good as the credit risk data available to them. This paper reviews a data-driven framework for portfolio risk analysis and discusses practical applications of consensus credit risk estimates.

January 9, 2023

Credit Correlations: Avoiding Unnecessary Risks

With default risks expected to rise in 2023, correlations between those risks are increasingly important for credit portfolio management. Exposures to different sectors – that normally diversify the portfolio – may show a simultaneous increase in risk during difficult economic conditions. This paper shows how Consensus credit data can be used to estimate credit correlations between regions, countries, industries, and sectors.

October 26, 2022

Q3 2022 Credit Review: Inflation and Credit Risk: Close to Boiling Point

Inflation dominated Q3 financial news, and the resulting short rate squeeze is biting while credit volatility is rising and the COVID recovery is running out of steam. Risk indicators are high in the UK, and oil and gas price volatility has brought havoc to Europe. In North America, weaker credit trends are appearing in several sectors. Believe it or not, there are some bright spots amidst this turmoil. This whitepaper elaborates on some of these trends and shows where credit could be headed next.

July 27, 2022

Q2 2022 Quarterly Review: Credit at a Turning Point?

This whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the second quarter of 2022. Widening credit spreads show a major shift to a “risk-off” mindset, as supply shocks and rate hikes show no sign of abating. Corporate default rates are likely to spike, and across sectors correlations between default risk are changing. This whitepaper tracks these shifts across many otherwise unrated countries/sectors, as well as illustrating other global trends in Q2 2022.

July 5, 2022

Credit Consensus Ratings and Risk Sharing Portfolios

Risk sharing transactions are a rapidly growing asset class, and have provided attractive returns over the past decade. As corporate credit becomes more unstable, emerging risks – and opportunities – highlight the need for comprehensive credit data for accurate transaction pricing. This paper details how Credit Consensus Ratings and Aggregates provide a detailed map of the credit market risk-reward landscape, including possible anomalies.

June 14, 2022

Something Better Change: Securities Lending Indemnification is Unsustainable in Its Current Form

In this paper Mark Faulkner reflects on the securities finance industry from a personal perspective and explores some of the challenges associated with Securities Lending Indemnification. The paper aims to explain the confluence of events behind these problems, assess their impact upon the market structure and make some suggestions to help mitigate the issues moving forward.

April 27, 2022

Q1 2022 Quarterly Review: COVID Recovery, Inflation and Ukraine Invasion

The latest whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the first quarter of 2022. With global growth rebounding strongly at the start of 2022, consensus credit trends mirrored this recovery across a broad range of sectors. But as inflation grows and interest rates look likely to jump, will heavily indebted companies drive credit defaults higher?

January 26, 2022

Another COVID Year: Credit Trends in 2021

2021 was another year dominated by COVID, but will hopefully mark the beginning of the end for the pandemic. This report shows the key credit trends that emerged in 2021 and examines which geographies, industries and sectors proved resilient to the widespread deterioration brought about by COVID in 2020 – and which have a more difficult road ahead.

December 7, 2021

Global Insurance in an Era of Heightened Risk

After two tumultuous years, the global insurance market has proven its resilience, but challenges of the “new normal” are increasing. A new whitepaper examines the state of global insurance in an era of heightened risk, focusing on regional and sector trends alongside single company examples.

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Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.

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