Insights

Canada Credit Risk Outlook 2026
Consensus PD data shows Canadian credit risk rising but stabilising — with tariff stress hitting consumer and industrial sectors hardest, and HY deteriorating far faster than IG across provinces.
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Middle East Conflict: Which Sectors Are Most Vulnerable?
The Middle East conflict is once again exposing the fragility of global supply chains. As with Covid and Ukraine, the consequences are unlikely to be immediate – but they will spread across sectors in ways that are difficult to predict.

Risk Watching: Why This Energy Shock Might Hit Credit Harder Than The Last One
The energy shock of 2026 could become a bigger problem for credit markets than the shock of 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine.

US Tariffs and Global Default Risk: 9 Months On
Equity markets adapted quickly to US tariffs, but Credit Benchmark consensus data shows material and uneven shifts in global default risk.

Credit Risk Priorities and Trends for 2026: What Client Conversations Reveal
Across hundreds of conversations with banks, insurers, asset managers, and other non-bank financial institutions, one theme dominates: credit risk management is under sustained pressure.

10 Years of Global Default Risk Trends
This 10-year analysis highlights how structural shifts in global trade, monetary policy, and capital flows have reshaped credit quality.

U.S. Credit Risk in Focus: Credit Benchmark’s New Index Reveals Emerging Stress in Corporate Lending
Bank sentiment about the creditworthiness of their borrowers worsened in recent months after improvement earlier this year, according to Credit Benchmark’s new Credit Risk Index (CRI).