David Carruthers, Author at Credit Benchmark Archive - Credit Benchmark

Home Improvement and Grocery Delivery Firms Suffer as Pre-COVID Habits Return

As the pandemic eases and workers return to their offices, companies that were COVID beneficiaries are facing the double hit of a return to more traditional buying habits and an inflation squeeze on household budgets.

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Russia – Ukraine Credit Shock Hits European Food Producers

The war in Ukraine has already had a dramatic impact on the global food trade with Russian aggression damaging global food supplies, and the fertiliser industry is also due to feel the pinch. EU Food Product firms are taking the hit, with a 4% drop in credit quality in the last month. Consensus data will continue to track the effect of the war on sectors and companies, rated and unrated, across the globe.

Gold Mining: Russian Invasion Squeezes Supplies and Boosts Demand

Russia is one of the world’s largest gold producers, and sanctions and inflation fears have seen the price of gold and other precious metals spike in the past month. Outside of Russia, many suppliers may have their eureka moment as prices continue to rise. This report compares credit consensus ratings to equity prices for some of the largest global mining companies.

VIX, Credit Spreads and Consensus Credit Risk

Market risk indicators are increasingly important amid global tensions and interest rate volatility. Consensus credit data offers a view beyond the VIX index and credit spreads – and recent data suggests financial institutions see the current problems translating into higher default rates.

Unpacking Bond Portfolio Risk with Consensus Credit Data

As credit markets become more challenging and volatile amid Fed tightening and expanding credit spreads, consensus data provides a stable reference point for assessing underlying portfolio credit risk. This report analyses a universe of bonds tracked by the iBoxx High Yield Index.

US Leads Oil & Gas Credit Recovery

The energy sector had a difficult pandemic and Government attempts to pursue net zero carbon policies added further challenges. But with the UK oil giants announcing record profits, it is clear that their setbacks were short-lived. This report examines regional credit trends and recovery patterns for US, UK, EU and Asian Oil & Gas companies

Consensus Credit Risk Helps to Navigate “Risk Off” Markets

January 2022 has been a difficult month for investors and looming Fed rate hikes mean more “Risk Off” days ahead. The hunt for yield continues, and with equity dividends at a high, consensus credit data can identify which industries are also underpinned by safe credit.

Uranium: Kazakhstan Effect May Be Transitory, EU Policy May Be Critical

The Russian intervention in Kazakhstan highlights the global importance of uranium supplies for military and power generation purposes, and with a number of countries considering expansion of nuclear energy programs, major uranium producers stand to benefit. This analysis details the credit quality trends for global firms involved in uranium production.

ESG and Credit in Oil & Gas and Industrials

ESG credentials are more important than ever, and are instrumental in driving key business and investment decisions. For listed firms, it can determine their suitability as an investment and ultimately their funding costs. This paper looks at the link between ESG profiles and credit risk for Oil & Gas and Industrial firms, suggesting that for companies seeking credit, it pays to be green.

COP26: Is Credit Risk Part of the Problem?

COP26 has made headlines, but the real debate is about the need for speed in translating pledges into action. Consensus credit data shows that nations with the most to lose from climate impact also have the least available resources to enact change – leaving the responsibility largely in the hands of developed economies with strong sovereign credit ratings.

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Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.

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