June Credit Update: Consensus Upgrades Outnumber Downgrades


Credit Benchmark has published the latest monthly credit consensus data (from May 2018), with 24 contributor banks. The set of bank-sourced credit views (CBCs*) now covers more than 19,500 separate legal entities.

 

Monthly consensus upgrades and downgrades:

  • 319 obligors improved their credit standing by at least one notch.
  • 297 obligors deteriorated.
  • 75 moved more than one notch.
  • The frequency of upgrades and downgrades has decreased.

Last month showed improvements across 556 obligors and deterioration across 375, with 97 moving by more than one notch.

Industries:

  • Upgrades dominate downgrades in seven out of ten reported industries.
  • The industries showing an improvement in credit quality include:
    • Basic Materials with 17 upgrades and 5 downgrades.
    • Industrials with 27 upgrades and 16 downgrades.
    • Technology with 11 upgrades and four downgrades.
  • The industries showing deteriorations are:
    • Health Care with seven upgrades and 10 downgrades.
    • Telecommunications with one upgrade and two downgrades.
    • Utilities with 10 upgrades and 11 downgrades.

 

* CBC = Credit Benchmark Consensus; a 21-category classification which is explicitly linked to probability of default estimates sourced from major banks. A CBC of bbb+ is broadly comparable with BBB+ from S&P and Fitch or Baa1 from Moody’s.

Disclaimer: Credit Benchmark does not solicit any action based upon this report, which is not to be construed as an invitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of a particular person who may read this report.


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