Credit Benchmark have released the December Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). The CCI is an index of forward-looking credit opinions for US, UK and EU Industrials based on the consensus views of over 20,000 credit analysts at 40+ of the world’s leading financial institutions.
Drawn from more than 950,000 contributed credit observations, the CCI tracks the total number of upgrades and downgrades made each month by credit analysts to chart the long-term trend in analyst sentiment for industrials. A monthly CCI score of 50 indicates neutral credit quality, with an equal number of upgrades and downgrades made over the course of a month. Scores above 50 indicate that credit quality is improving. Scores below 50 indicate that credit quality is deteriorating.
EU Industrial firms continue their run of positive credit movement, with a 16th month of improvement. UK Industrial firms continue to register a negative CCI this month. US Industrial firms remain slightly positive with a fifth consecutive instance of a positive CCI score.
UK Industrials: Lingering Deterioration
UK Industrial firms continue to register a negative CCI this month.
The UK Industrials CCI score is 48.8 this month, a slight worsening from last month’s CCI of 49.6.
Further train strikes have been announced this week, expecting to cause significant disruptions. Ministers warn of ‘permanent scarring’ left by rolling industrial action.
EU Industrials: Modest Improvement Continues
EU Industrial firms have registered another positive CCI for this month, which is the sixteenth consecutive instance of a positive score.
Whilst the trend was dipping close to neutral in Jun-22, the EU Industrials CCI score has remained above 52.3 for the last 5 months. The EU Industrials CCI score is 52.6 this month.
The energy crisis, along with steps taken by the US, China and others, poses a significant challenge and calls for a bold new EU industrial strategy.
US Industrials: Improvement Strengthening
US Industrial firms remain slightly positive with a fifth consecutive instance of a positive CCI score.
The US Industrials CCI score this month is 51.1, an improvement from last month’s CCI of 50.7.
In the US, the glory days of manufacturing could once again be possible. Industrial technology companies under-the-radar successes are powering a resurgence in US manufacturing.
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