Steady Improvement for US, UK Retail: September 2021
The retail sector is enjoying some long-awaited good fortune. According to the latest consensus data, credit risk has improved for both the US and UK retail sectors.
September 20, 2021
The retail sector is enjoying some long-awaited good fortune. According to the latest consensus data, credit risk has improved for both the US and UK retail sectors.
Credit volatility remains in the picture for global corporates. The latest consensus data show increases in both the number of Fallen Angels – companies that have seen their credit scores fall from investment-grade to high-yield status – and Rising Stars – companies that have risen from high-yield to investment grade.
Credit Benchmark have released the August 2021 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). There is reason for optimism in the latest CCI data. Scores for the UK, EU, and US are all above 50.
Credit volatility remains in the picture for global corporates. The latest consensus data show increases in both the number of Fallen Angels – companies that have seen their credit scores fall from investment-grade to high-yield status – and Rising Stars – companies that have risen from high-yield to investment grade.
The worst of the pandemic-related challenges may have passed but continued improvement for the US auto sector may be under threat unless supply chain problems ease.
The UK is seeing similar problems as credit for auto firms deteriorates, and lingering concerns about Brexit remain.
Monthly changes in credit quality outlook for the energy sector were muted this month, with the US seeing some improvement and the UK seeing some deterioration in credit. The EU energy sector is stable.
The Financial Counterpart Monitor from Credit Benchmark provides a unique analysis of the changing creditworthiness of financial institutions.
Credit Benchmark have released the latest end-month industry update, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from 40+ global financial institutions.
Stability is the current trend for the UK retail sector though challenges for the sector remain. US retail continues on a slow and steady path to improvement.
The Fallen Angels and Rising Stars Monthly Monitor reflects shifts to and from investment-grade and high-yield status for global corporates. While corporate credit risk has been improving across many industries, data from individual sectors may provide a clearer picture of trends in the months ahead.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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