Reuters: Commercial real estate investors risk painful losses in post-COVID world

Commercial real estate investors and lenders are facing mounting losses if societal habits have changed for good in a post-COVID world, writes Sinead Cruise, Lucy Raitano and Lewis Jackson for Reuters, citing research from Credit Benchmark.

While tricky economic conditions are not unfamiliar to seasoned commercial property investors, changing routines around online shopping and working from home may see a permanent surplus of buildings in major cities like London, Los Angeles and New York.

“Global lenders to U.S. industrial and office real estate investment trusts (REITs), who supplied credit risk assessments to data provider Credit Benchmark in July, said firms in the sector were now 17.9% more likely to default on debt than they estimated six months ago. Borrowers in the UK real estate holding & development category were 4% more likely to default.”

Reuters, July 31, 2023.

View original article (external link).

Follow us on:

Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.