Quarterly Credit Outlook Q3 2023
Latest data shows equity and credit volatility ticking up, are downgrades coming? Get insights on the latest market trends and analysis here. Our report covers key indicators and market predictions.
Latest data shows equity and credit volatility ticking up, are downgrades coming? Get insights on the latest market trends and analysis here. Our report covers key indicators and market predictions.
The latest whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates global credit trends in the first quarter of 2023. The credit optimism of early 2023 has faded with the latest data suggesting a gradual but broad decline in global credit. US regional banks have shown extensive deterioration, though negative movement has paused for their larger counterparts. Global REITs, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds, US Technology and Telecomms all showing net deterioration.
Credit Benchmark have released the March 2023 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). UK Oil & Gas firms return to positive credit balance this month after ended their run of five months of positive credit balance last month. Global and US Oil & Gas firms also record net credit improvement.
Renewable energy is at the centre of efforts to tackle climate change, but there have been setbacks to growth. 80%+ of energy demand is still met by fossil fuels, with fossil fuel companies reporting record profits as global energy prices spike. In the past two years, renewable credit risk has deteriorated and traditional energy has improved. However, there are some signs that the credit tide may be turning.
Credit Benchmark have released the February Industrials Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). Credit Benchmark have released the February Industrials Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). EU Industrial firms continue their run of positive credit movement, with a 17th month of improvement. UK Industrial firms continue to register a negative CCI this month. US Industrial firms return to negative credit balance.
With default risks expected to rise in 2023, correlations between those risks are increasingly important for credit portfolio management. Exposures to different sectors – that normally diversify the portfolio – may show a simultaneous increase in risk during difficult economic conditions. This paper shows how Consensus credit data can be used to estimate credit correlations between regions, countries, industries, and sectors.
Credit Benchmark have released the January 2023 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). US Oil & Gas firms have put a recent negative blip behind them with another month of positive credit quality, while Global and UK firms also continue to enjoy net credit improvement.
COP27 needs to answer one question: is a declining standard of living the price of a sustainable future? Countries with weaker credit ratings will typically see more impact of climate change – with some exceptions. This report compares Sovereign credit against climate impact risk.
In the newly published special report from Structured Credit Investor (SCI), Mark Faulkner, co-founder, Credit Benchmark, investigates how Credit Consensus data can help support growth in SRT activity.
The recent award of the 2022 Nobel memorial prize in Economics to Bernanke, Diamond and Dybvig for their work on banking regulation and liquidity highlights the connection between credit and liquidity, making the point that credit assessments are a form of market information.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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