Follow:
An apparent truce in the U.S. debt-ceiling standoff in Congress has offered some relief to Wall Street investors on edge about a possible debt default, but analysts are left assessing the risk of a repeat crisis as the year closes out, writes Karen Pierog for Reuters, citing research from Credit Benchmark.
The hospitality industry has suffered from prolonged closures, reduced capacity, supply issues and staff shortages during COVID, damaging an already low margin business. For the UK, Brexit has magnified these effects. Analysis of consensus credit data shows a disparity in recovery between the US and UK.
The positive credit movement witnessed in other industries like retail and energy can also be seen in the US auto sector. Credit quality continues to improve and risk continues to decline. In addition to the overall economic picture improving, demand remains robust. The same is largely true for the UK sector.
The outlook for major energy sectors ranges from good to under-performing. The US energy sector is seeing improvement in its credit though with a small blip this month. Meanwhile, the UK has seen slight improvement, and the EU has seen slight deterioration.
Credit Benchmark have released the September 2021 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). The latest forward-looking consensus data confirms the notion that an improving trend in industrials may be slower or more uneven than previously anticipated.
Credit Benchmark have released the latest end-month industry update, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from 40+ global financial institutions.
The retail sector is enjoying some long-awaited good fortune. According to the latest consensus data, credit risk has improved for both the US and UK retail sectors.
Credit Benchmark have released the August 2021 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). There is reason for optimism in the latest CCI data. Scores for the UK, EU, and US are all above 50.
The worst of the pandemic-related challenges may have passed but continued improvement for the US auto sector may be under threat unless supply chain problems ease.
The UK is seeing similar problems as credit for auto firms deteriorates, and lingering concerns about Brexit remain.
Monthly changes in credit quality outlook for the energy sector were muted this month, with the US seeing some improvement and the UK seeing some deterioration in credit. The EU energy sector is stable.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
Please complete the form below to arrange a demo.
