October Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials

UK Industrial firms are in a positive position for the fourth time this month, suggesting a trend of improvement is forming. EU Industrial firms have registered another positive CCI for this month, which is the thirteenth consecutive instance of a positive score. Consensus opinion on credit quality for US Industrial firms is still in positive territory, although their CCI score has significantly decreased from last month.

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“Lehman Moment” for European Power Companies – Who Is at Risk?

European Governments are pledging hundreds of billions of Euros in financial aid to power generators and distributors, plus support for consumers facing massive energy price hikes. But an even larger crisis may be lurking in European energy trading, with the FT reporting sector margin requirements as high as €1trillion – vastly in excess of current sector liquidity.

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Q2 2022 Quarterly Review: Credit at a Turning Point?

This whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the second quarter of 2022. Widening credit spreads show a major shift to a “risk-off” mindset, as supply shocks and rate hikes show no sign of abating. Corporate default rates are likely to spike, and across sectors correlations between default risk are changing. This whitepaper tracks these shifts across many otherwise unrated countries/sectors, as well as illustrating other global trends in Q2 2022.

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June Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials

Credit Benchmark have released the June 2022 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). The positive trend continued in June for both EU and US Industrial firms. EU Industrials have been modestly improving in recent months, while US firms remain steady. UK Industrial firms are experiencing some instability, with alternating instances of improvement then deterioration, month-on-month.

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April Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials

Credit Benchmark have released the April 2022 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). April showed similarly positive CCI readings for US and EU Industrial firms this month, both of which have enjoyed overall net improvement for several months now. The UK dropped into negative territory after three prior months of improvements, implying a shakier credit foundation.

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VIX, Credit Spreads and Consensus Credit Risk

Market risk indicators are increasingly important amid global tensions and interest rate volatility. Consensus credit data offers a view beyond the VIX index and credit spreads – and recent data suggests financial institutions see the current problems translating into higher default rates.

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Another COVID Year: Credit Trends in 2021

2021 was another year dominated by COVID, but will hopefully mark the beginning of the end for the pandemic.  This report shows the key credit trends that emerged in 2021 and examines which geographies, industries and sectors proved resilient to the widespread deterioration brought about by COVID in 2020 – and which have a more difficult road ahead.

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