Insights

Credit Spotlight on US Technology
Rising default risks and credit divergence signal a potential shakeout in the tech sector amid volatile returns and shifting global dynamics.
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Sovereign Credit Increasingly Volatile
Sovereign credit risk is important: not only do changes in government borrowing rates affect public funding, these same rates impact investment portfolios broadly. Sovereign risks serve as fundamental inputs to the analysis of most entities, especially corporate and financials. Sovereign credit risk is typically driven by country-specific factors, like the

Risk.Net: A New PD Story for Brazil and Mexico?
For the past two years, there has been a clear story about the credit risk of Brazil and Mexico – a story that may now be on the verge of a twist. According to banks’ probability of default estimates, the former has been getting steadily riskier – slipping from bb+

African State-Owned Enterprises: Credit Trend Reflects Profitability Issues
State-owned enterprises (SOE) in Africa play a vital role in their respective economies – managing natural resources, energy, transportation, and telecommunications – but they often rely heavily on regular capital injections from their governments. South AfricaSouth Africa recently rescued Eskom, the state power monopoly, in the largest bailout in the

February Credit Update: Consensus Upgrades Continue to Outweigh Downgrades for Financials
Credit Benchmark has published the latest monthly credit consensus data (from January 2019) based on contributions from 30+ financial institutions, covering over 25,500 separate legal entities. The monthly upgrades and downgrades overview is now based on data adjusted for changes in contributor mix. Monthly consensus upgrades and downgrades: 365 obligors

Gauging The Credit Risk Of Global Car Manufacturers
2019 will be a big year for the auto technology space, with the pivot towards hybrid and electric vehicles underway. Europe, especially Germany, looks to be taking the lead in the auto tech race. VW Group is expecting to sell 3 million full-electric cars by 2025, and Porsche has announced

Will Oil Output Cuts Mean Stronger OPEC Sovereign Credit?
OPEC production cuts agreed in December 2018 as well as US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela have pushed the price of WTI futures to more than $55, the highest level this year. But the group faces major headwinds: Qatar recently left the organization, and some other countries appear to be