October 2023 Industry Monitor

October 2023 Industry Monitor

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Download the latest Industry Monitor below.

Credit Benchmark have released the end-month industry update for end-August, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from ~40 global financial institutions.

Financials are balanced between improvement and deterioration this month. Corporates are narrowly tipped towards net credit deterioration, with a ratio of 1:1.2.

Industry Level Credit Movement:

Amongst the Industries, Health Care firms are the worst performer this month, with a ratio of 1.8 deteriorations to every improvement. Telecommunications follows close behind at 1:1.5 improvements to deteriorations. Oil & Gas firms have come out on top with a positive ratio of 1.4 improvements to each deterioration.

Sector Level Credit Movement:

The sectors show more variance in credit quality. Oil & Gas strength is also reflected at the sector level, with Canada Oil & Gas firms coming out strong with a 2.2:1 improvement to deterioration ratio. UK and US Oil & Gas firms also performed well with positive ratios of 1.3:1 and 1.2:1 respectively. Travel & Leisure firms also stand out with a bias towards credit improvement, with an improving to deteriorating ratio of 1.5:1. Of those that fared negatively, US Corporates are still the worst affected, with an improving to deteriorating ratio of 1:1.5. This trend was reflected across North America, with Canada Corporates showing a ratio of 1:1.2.

In the update, you will find:

  • Credit Consensus Distribution Changes: The net increase or decrease of entities in the given rating category since the last update.
  • Credit Transition: Assesses the month-over-month observation-level net downgrades or upgrades, shown as a percentage of the total number of entities within each category.
  • Ratio: Ratio of Improvements and Deteriorations in each category since last update, calculated as Improvements : Deteriorations.
  • IG to HY Migration: The number of companies which have migrated from investment-grade to high-yield since the last update (known as Fallen Angels).

Credit Benchmark will continue to provide regular reports on these migration rates. If you have any questions about the contents of this update, please get in touch.

Credit Benchmark have released the latest end-month industry update, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from 40+ global financial institutions.

For full details, please download the latest Industry Monitor infographic here:

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