As credit markets become more challenging and volatile amid Fed tightening and expanding credit spreads, consensus data provides a stable reference point for assessing underlying portfolio credit risk. This report analyses a universe of bonds tracked by the iBoxx High Yield Index.

January 2022 has been a difficult month for investors and looming Fed rate hikes mean more “Risk Off” days ahead. The hunt for yield continues, and with equity dividends at a high, consensus credit data can identify which industries are also underpinned by safe credit.

Studies have shown that female-led companies outperform male-led companies on a range of metrics, yet women continue to be perceived as less suitable for leadership roles than men. New analysis from Credit Benchmark suggests that female-led companies are also a better credit risk, particularly in times of economic turmoil.

Government support for UK businesses is due to end in early 2021, leaving many at-risk companies in debt. A significant increase in default rates may be observed as credit becomes less available. New research from Credit Benchmark shows that UK corporates have a ~20% higher chance of defaulting in 2021 compared to a year ago, suggesting that 1 in 150 companies will default this year.

CDS prices are often cited as a proxy for solvency risk. New research shows some large variations between CDS prices and consensus credit risk data for GSIBs.